Real Estate Investing Advice

There are a lot of people investing in the real estate sector. While making an investment in this field one prime thing to consider is the location. The increase or decrease in the property value depends upon the location of the property. If the property is centrally located, then there would be an increase in price over the period of time as compared to property at isolated locations.

Prerequisites

For those who are serious about making an entry in the field below is some real estate investing advice. There are few things you would require to start:

• Capital to invest or a legal way to acquire that capital
• Detailed knowledge about the real estate market and the area where you are planning to purchase the house.
• Management and excellent negotiation skills are a must for buying the property at your affordable price.
• You should be capable of doing the repairs yourself or at least hire someone to do the repairs
• Please keep the contact information of the property inspector or an engineer who can help you determine flaws in the property.

Though it is not easy to find and acquire the property at reduced price during foreclosures or fix-uppers, you can easily become the proud owner of any property at its increasing rates. While renting be careful about to whom the property is rented out as property would need timely maintenance.

How To Start

Property investments are very expensive and there is capital requires for the same. A good real estate investing advice about how people start in the field is by selling off their own home and purchasing two smaller units with the amount of money acquired. As mentioned earlier location is the main factor that describes the profits of the field thus a lot of research before making an investment is essential. You may check the newspapers, internet, and local libraries and attend the city council meetings to know about the market. It is a safe real estate investing advice to looking into the future developmental plans of the property that you wish to purchase.

Investment Trusts

Another good real estate investing advice offered by experienced in the field is to start with the help of investment trusts. These would serve as a great method to start in the field with less investments and troubles associated with becoming the landlord. An investment trust is the company that invests in the various corporations involved in the real estate market. They range from the big shopping complexes to industrial parks. These are usually listed in stock exchange. The working of these investment trusts is quite similar to that of mutual funds the only difference is their portfolio of investing in the real estate sector. A bulk of their investments is distributed in the form of dividends to the investor. Few points to keep in mind while investing in the real estate investment trusts are:

• The financial health of the areas where the key holdings are located
• The performance of trusts and their future projections
• Trusts management?s track record
• The state of the real estate market

Real Estate Investing Advice

There are a lot of people investing in the real estate sector. While making an investment in this field one prime thing to consider is the location. The increase or decrease in the property value depends upon the location of the property. If the property is centrally located, then there would be an increase in price over the period of time as compared to property at isolated locations.

Prerequisites

For those who are serious about making an entry in the field below is some real estate investing advice. There are few things you would require to start:

• Capital to invest or a legal way to acquire that capital
• Detailed knowledge about the real estate market and the area where you are planning to purchase the house.
• Management and excellent negotiation skills are a must for buying the property at your affordable price.
• You should be capable of doing the repairs yourself or at least hire someone to do the repairs
• Please keep the contact information of the property inspector or an engineer who can help you determine flaws in the property.

Though it is not easy to find and acquire the property at reduced price during foreclosures or fix-uppers, you can easily become the proud owner of any property at its increasing rates. While renting be careful about to whom the property is rented out as property would need timely maintenance.

How To Start

Property investments are very expensive and there is capital requires for the same. A good real estate investing advice about how people start in the field is by selling off their own home and purchasing two smaller units with the amount of money acquired. As mentioned earlier location is the main factor that describes the profits of the field thus a lot of research before making an investment is essential. You may check the newspapers, internet, and local libraries and attend the city council meetings to know about the market. It is a safe real estate investing advice to looking into the future developmental plans of the property that you wish to purchase.

Investment Trusts

Another good real estate investing advice offered by experienced in the field is to start with the help of investment trusts. These would serve as a great method to start in the field with less investments and troubles associated with becoming the landlord. An investment trust is the company that invests in the various corporations involved in the real estate market. They range from the big shopping complexes to industrial parks. These are usually listed in stock exchange. The working of these investment trusts is quite similar to that of mutual funds the only difference is their portfolio of investing in the real estate sector. A bulk of their investments is distributed in the form of dividends to the investor. Few points to keep in mind while investing in the real estate investment trusts are:

• The financial health of the areas where the key holdings are located
• The performance of trusts and their future projections
• Trusts management?s track record
• The state of the real estate market

Real Estate Investing By The Numbers: Part 1

In our recent Mastermind Group training session, our key topic of discussion was how to invest by the numbers. The longer that I spend investing in real estate and also evaluating projects around the county, the more and more I am astounded at the lack of knowledge from “so called” professionals. For most individual real estate investments, the level of analysis is not terribly difficult?. You find yourself doing the same thing over and over again. In this article, I will try and share this simplistic view and how you can know more than 95% of the “professionals” in this market.

What You Need To Know? For any investment, there really is 4 things you need to know and guess what, NOBODY gives them to you in a normal sales presentation. Let’s break down each one and how it is obtained:

1)Purchase Equity ? This is one of the simplest to obtain but is easily abused by sales people. What you want to know is what is your purchase price, relative to the actual STREET PRICE; i.e., the price a real individual in the area would pay to own your property. How do you get it? Appraisals, talking with agents in the area, running test ads in newspapers, etc.

2)Annual Appreciation (%) ? Now the witch craft begins?.. This requires a CRYSTAL BALL to look into the future. Because of this, appreciation is an OPINION that you should form on your own?. An “Experts” OPINION is still an opinion and you should treat it as such. To make an opinion, you had to consider things like job growth, lack of similar product, future demand, etc. Bottom line is that you would like to come up with a % number and this takes a little practice but after looking at a few areas, you can pretty easily form an opinion. PLEASE NOTE: If we “project” appreciation rates in an area, we are violating securities laws so we don’t do this. We share all the information about an area and why we like it and then have to leave it up to the individual to form their own opinion. However, when we have decided to introduce a property, we have formed our own OPINION and we like what we see.

3)Annual Cashflow ? Over time, you will either be making or losing money on this investment. It may turn out that small amounts of negative cashflow make sense if the annual appreciation and purchase equity are strong. The components that you have to gather for annual cashflow are

?Gross Annual Income; ?Management Expenses; ?Taxes, Insurance, HOA; ?Interest Expenses; and ?Maintenance Estimates

Fortunately, most of the expenses can be estimated pretty closely. For gross annual income, realize that again, NOBODY can predict the future. So, you can gather market rents data that you believe are comparable, apply any safety factor that you like, and then use that for ESTIMATES.

4)Special Tax Situations ? This is typically an unusual situation for individual investors but applies in areas such as the Go Zone where bonus depreciation can be used.

How Do You Use This Information Suppose you could see EXACTLY what was going to happen into the future?.. Of course, we know this is unrealistic however it still does not hurt to try based on our assumptions.

Suppose you looked into the future and you saw that in 5 years, your net gain on a property was going to be a little over $87,000 with a $21,000 dollar total investment and a little bit of your time. If you KNEW that was GOING to happen, what would you do? Would you purchase the property? Would you pass on the property? Why?

Realize, that for a $21,000 investment, this equates to making 33.9% on your money, year after year after year. That is not too shabby. Let’s apply the “rule of 72″ here which states that you can calculate how long (approximately) it will take to double your money with a certain return %. You take 72% / 33.9% = 2.1 Years to double your money. Is this something that is good?

The answer of course depends on a few factors but let’s put it into perspective. Suppose you invested $100,000 at a steady 33.9% rate of return. In 15 years, then you have now turned that $100,000 into $7.9 Million. Got your attention yet if you KNEW this was going to happen? Of course, if we have to take on all kinds of risks to get that return, then that may, or may not be such a good idea. If, however, it is low risk, now you have the makings of a good investment.

My argument now is that IF YOU COULD SEE INTO THE FUTURE, and you saw this kind of performance, you would be excited. Right? Well, why not pretend we can look into the future and CALCULATE what the future looks like using our 4 KEY parameters above. If we like the “future” answers, and we believe our assumptions, and we believe the risk to be low, isn’t that a prudent approach?

For many non-investors, they believe that real estate investors take on tons of risk and are gun slingers?? Quite contraire, monsieur, that is exactly what we DON’T do. Good investors simply look at all the FACTS, make some estimates of key parameters, estimate future performance, and then play “what if” games to what happens if things don’t work out exactly as thought.

Building Wealth With Real Estate Investing ? Three Simple Strategies

Building wealth with real estate investing is one hot topic that is at the back of everyone?s mind these days with property investment training seminars running advertisements in the major newspapers. This article will highlight three simple strategies to build wealth

Cash Flow Properties

Building wealth with cash flow properties is a simple concept. However, looking for a high rental yield property takes some time and education. Focus on looking for properties in high demand areas with higher than average rental yields. This is critical if you want to ride out the down part of the rental cycle and you want to do a simple maths calculation to see if your current instalment size can withstand the down part of the rental cycle or would it deplete your savings instead. In cash flow properties, you want to find a property that puts a net amount of income into your pocket each month and then go on to find more and more such properties to make you a landlord of even more properties.

Flipping Properties

The best types of properties are those that look run-down but are actually quite easy to spruce up. Spend some time looking for auction and foreclosure type properties which can be spruced up real fast for a quick resale. Do your homework and inspect the house before you buy it because some of them can be real problematic. Take some time as well to figure out the foreclosure and flipping real estate laws in your state because you want to

Land Banking

Land banking is an interesting concept and basically means that you take the risk of the developer?s land bank and when the developer is ready to build and develop the land, he buys it back from you and usually at a few times the rate that he sold the rights to you. This benefits both parties since the developer gets to free up his initial capital and you get a good return on your investment.

In conclusion, we have covered three simple ways that allow you to build wealth with real estate. Take some action today and start seeing your income rise and achieve your lifelong dreams today.

About the Author:

Joel Teo writes on Ahwatukee Real Estate Investment. Learn more about Property Investment by signing up for his free Real Estate Investing Ezine

Real Estate Investing By The Numbers: Part 1

In our recent Mastermind Group training session, our key topic of discussion was how to invest by the numbers. The longer that I spend investing in real estate and also evaluating projects around the county, the more and more I am astounded at the lack of knowledge from “so called” professionals. For most individual real estate investments, the level of analysis is not terribly difficult?. You find yourself doing the same thing over and over again. In this article, I will try and share this simplistic view and how you can know more than 95% of the “professionals” in this market.

What You Need To Know? For any investment, there really is 4 things you need to know and guess what, NOBODY gives them to you in a normal sales presentation. Let’s break down each one and how it is obtained:

1)Purchase Equity ? This is one of the simplest to obtain but is easily abused by sales people. What you want to know is what is your purchase price, relative to the actual STREET PRICE; i.e., the price a real individual in the area would pay to own your property. How do you get it? Appraisals, talking with agents in the area, running test ads in newspapers, etc.

2)Annual Appreciation (%) ? Now the witch craft begins?.. This requires a CRYSTAL BALL to look into the future. Because of this, appreciation is an OPINION that you should form on your own?. An “Experts” OPINION is still an opinion and you should treat it as such. To make an opinion, you had to consider things like job growth, lack of similar product, future demand, etc. Bottom line is that you would like to come up with a % number and this takes a little practice but after looking at a few areas, you can pretty easily form an opinion. PLEASE NOTE: If we “project” appreciation rates in an area, we are violating securities laws so we don’t do this. We share all the information about an area and why we like it and then have to leave it up to the individual to form their own opinion. However, when we have decided to introduce a property, we have formed our own OPINION and we like what we see.

3)Annual Cashflow ? Over time, you will either be making or losing money on this investment. It may turn out that small amounts of negative cashflow make sense if the annual appreciation and purchase equity are strong. The components that you have to gather for annual cashflow are

?Gross Annual Income; ?Management Expenses; ?Taxes, Insurance, HOA; ?Interest Expenses; and ?Maintenance Estimates

Fortunately, most of the expenses can be estimated pretty closely. For gross annual income, realize that again, NOBODY can predict the future. So, you can gather market rents data that you believe are comparable, apply any safety factor that you like, and then use that for ESTIMATES.

4)Special Tax Situations ? This is typically an unusual situation for individual investors but applies in areas such as the Go Zone where bonus depreciation can be used.

How Do You Use This Information Suppose you could see EXACTLY what was going to happen into the future?.. Of course, we know this is unrealistic however it still does not hurt to try based on our assumptions.

Suppose you looked into the future and you saw that in 5 years, your net gain on a property was going to be a little over $87,000 with a $21,000 dollar total investment and a little bit of your time. If you KNEW that was GOING to happen, what would you do? Would you purchase the property? Would you pass on the property? Why?

Realize, that for a $21,000 investment, this equates to making 33.9% on your money, year after year after year. That is not too shabby. Let’s apply the “rule of 72″ here which states that you can calculate how long (approximately) it will take to double your money with a certain return %. You take 72% / 33.9% = 2.1 Years to double your money. Is this something that is good?

The answer of course depends on a few factors but let’s put it into perspective. Suppose you invested $100,000 at a steady 33.9% rate of return. In 15 years, then you have now turned that $100,000 into $7.9 Million. Got your attention yet if you KNEW this was going to happen? Of course, if we have to take on all kinds of risks to get that return, then that may, or may not be such a good idea. If, however, it is low risk, now you have the makings of a good investment.

My argument now is that IF YOU COULD SEE INTO THE FUTURE, and you saw this kind of performance, you would be excited. Right? Well, why not pretend we can look into the future and CALCULATE what the future looks like using our 4 KEY parameters above. If we like the “future” answers, and we believe our assumptions, and we believe the risk to be low, isn’t that a prudent approach?

For many non-investors, they believe that real estate investors take on tons of risk and are gun slingers?? Quite contraire, monsieur, that is exactly what we DON’T do. Good investors simply look at all the FACTS, make some estimates of key parameters, estimate future performance, and then play “what if” games to what happens if things don’t work out exactly as thought.

Real Estate Investing By The Numbers: Part 1

In our recent Mastermind Group training session, our key topic of discussion was how to invest by the numbers. The longer that I spend investing in real estate and also evaluating projects around the county, the more and more I am astounded at the lack of knowledge from “so called” professionals. For most individual real estate investments, the level of analysis is not terribly difficult?. You find yourself doing the same thing over and over again. In this article, I will try and share this simplistic view and how you can know more than 95% of the “professionals” in this market.

What You Need To Know? For any investment, there really is 4 things you need to know and guess what, NOBODY gives them to you in a normal sales presentation. Let’s break down each one and how it is obtained:

1)Purchase Equity ? This is one of the simplest to obtain but is easily abused by sales people. What you want to know is what is your purchase price, relative to the actual STREET PRICE; i.e., the price a real individual in the area would pay to own your property. How do you get it? Appraisals, talking with agents in the area, running test ads in newspapers, etc.

2)Annual Appreciation (%) ? Now the witch craft begins?.. This requires a CRYSTAL BALL to look into the future. Because of this, appreciation is an OPINION that you should form on your own?. An “Experts” OPINION is still an opinion and you should treat it as such. To make an opinion, you had to consider things like job growth, lack of similar product, future demand, etc. Bottom line is that you would like to come up with a % number and this takes a little practice but after looking at a few areas, you can pretty easily form an opinion. PLEASE NOTE: If we “project” appreciation rates in an area, we are violating securities laws so we don’t do this. We share all the information about an area and why we like it and then have to leave it up to the individual to form their own opinion. However, when we have decided to introduce a property, we have formed our own OPINION and we like what we see.

3)Annual Cashflow ? Over time, you will either be making or losing money on this investment. It may turn out that small amounts of negative cashflow make sense if the annual appreciation and purchase equity are strong. The components that you have to gather for annual cashflow are

?Gross Annual Income; ?Management Expenses; ?Taxes, Insurance, HOA; ?Interest Expenses; and ?Maintenance Estimates

Fortunately, most of the expenses can be estimated pretty closely. For gross annual income, realize that again, NOBODY can predict the future. So, you can gather market rents data that you believe are comparable, apply any safety factor that you like, and then use that for ESTIMATES.

4)Special Tax Situations ? This is typically an unusual situation for individual investors but applies in areas such as the Go Zone where bonus depreciation can be used.

How Do You Use This Information Suppose you could see EXACTLY what was going to happen into the future?.. Of course, we know this is unrealistic however it still does not hurt to try based on our assumptions.

Suppose you looked into the future and you saw that in 5 years, your net gain on a property was going to be a little over $87,000 with a $21,000 dollar total investment and a little bit of your time. If you KNEW that was GOING to happen, what would you do? Would you purchase the property? Would you pass on the property? Why?

Realize, that for a $21,000 investment, this equates to making 33.9% on your money, year after year after year. That is not too shabby. Let’s apply the “rule of 72″ here which states that you can calculate how long (approximately) it will take to double your money with a certain return %. You take 72% / 33.9% = 2.1 Years to double your money. Is this something that is good?

The answer of course depends on a few factors but let’s put it into perspective. Suppose you invested $100,000 at a steady 33.9% rate of return. In 15 years, then you have now turned that $100,000 into $7.9 Million. Got your attention yet if you KNEW this was going to happen? Of course, if we have to take on all kinds of risks to get that return, then that may, or may not be such a good idea. If, however, it is low risk, now you have the makings of a good investment.

My argument now is that IF YOU COULD SEE INTO THE FUTURE, and you saw this kind of performance, you would be excited. Right? Well, why not pretend we can look into the future and CALCULATE what the future looks like using our 4 KEY parameters above. If we like the “future” answers, and we believe our assumptions, and we believe the risk to be low, isn’t that a prudent approach?

For many non-investors, they believe that real estate investors take on tons of risk and are gun slingers?? Quite contraire, monsieur, that is exactly what we DON’T do. Good investors simply look at all the FACTS, make some estimates of key parameters, estimate future performance, and then play “what if” games to what happens if things don’t work out exactly as thought.

Building Wealth With Real Estate Investing ? Three Simple Strategies

Building wealth with real estate investing is one hot topic that is at the back of everyone?s mind these days with property investment training seminars running advertisements in the major newspapers. This article will highlight three simple strategies to build wealth

Cash Flow Properties

Building wealth with cash flow properties is a simple concept. However, looking for a high rental yield property takes some time and education. Focus on looking for properties in high demand areas with higher than average rental yields. This is critical if you want to ride out the down part of the rental cycle and you want to do a simple maths calculation to see if your current instalment size can withstand the down part of the rental cycle or would it deplete your savings instead. In cash flow properties, you want to find a property that puts a net amount of income into your pocket each month and then go on to find more and more such properties to make you a landlord of even more properties.

Flipping Properties

The best types of properties are those that look run-down but are actually quite easy to spruce up. Spend some time looking for auction and foreclosure type properties which can be spruced up real fast for a quick resale. Do your homework and inspect the house before you buy it because some of them can be real problematic. Take some time as well to figure out the foreclosure and flipping real estate laws in your state because you want to

Land Banking

Land banking is an interesting concept and basically means that you take the risk of the developer?s land bank and when the developer is ready to build and develop the land, he buys it back from you and usually at a few times the rate that he sold the rights to you. This benefits both parties since the developer gets to free up his initial capital and you get a good return on your investment.

In conclusion, we have covered three simple ways that allow you to build wealth with real estate. Take some action today and start seeing your income rise and achieve your lifelong dreams today.

About the Author:

Joel Teo writes on Ahwatukee Real Estate Investment. Learn more about Property Investment by signing up for his free Real Estate Investing Ezine

Real Estate Investing Advice

There are a lot of people investing in the real estate sector. While making an investment in this field one prime thing to consider is the location. The increase or decrease in the property value depends upon the location of the property. If the property is centrally located, then there would be an increase in price over the period of time as compared to property at isolated locations.

Prerequisites

For those who are serious about making an entry in the field below is some real estate investing advice. There are few things you would require to start:

• Capital to invest or a legal way to acquire that capital
• Detailed knowledge about the real estate market and the area where you are planning to purchase the house.
• Management and excellent negotiation skills are a must for buying the property at your affordable price.
• You should be capable of doing the repairs yourself or at least hire someone to do the repairs
• Please keep the contact information of the property inspector or an engineer who can help you determine flaws in the property.

Though it is not easy to find and acquire the property at reduced price during foreclosures or fix-uppers, you can easily become the proud owner of any property at its increasing rates. While renting be careful about to whom the property is rented out as property would need timely maintenance.

How To Start

Property investments are very expensive and there is capital requires for the same. A good real estate investing advice about how people start in the field is by selling off their own home and purchasing two smaller units with the amount of money acquired. As mentioned earlier location is the main factor that describes the profits of the field thus a lot of research before making an investment is essential. You may check the newspapers, internet, and local libraries and attend the city council meetings to know about the market. It is a safe real estate investing advice to looking into the future developmental plans of the property that you wish to purchase.

Investment Trusts

Another good real estate investing advice offered by experienced in the field is to start with the help of investment trusts. These would serve as a great method to start in the field with less investments and troubles associated with becoming the landlord. An investment trust is the company that invests in the various corporations involved in the real estate market. They range from the big shopping complexes to industrial parks. These are usually listed in stock exchange. The working of these investment trusts is quite similar to that of mutual funds the only difference is their portfolio of investing in the real estate sector. A bulk of their investments is distributed in the form of dividends to the investor. Few points to keep in mind while investing in the real estate investment trusts are:

• The financial health of the areas where the key holdings are located
• The performance of trusts and their future projections
• Trusts management?s track record
• The state of the real estate market

Real Estate Investing By The Numbers: Part 1

In our recent Mastermind Group training session, our key topic of discussion was how to invest by the numbers. The longer that I spend investing in real estate and also evaluating projects around the county, the more and more I am astounded at the lack of knowledge from “so called” professionals. For most individual real estate investments, the level of analysis is not terribly difficult?. You find yourself doing the same thing over and over again. In this article, I will try and share this simplistic view and how you can know more than 95% of the “professionals” in this market.

What You Need To Know? For any investment, there really is 4 things you need to know and guess what, NOBODY gives them to you in a normal sales presentation. Let’s break down each one and how it is obtained:

1)Purchase Equity ? This is one of the simplest to obtain but is easily abused by sales people. What you want to know is what is your purchase price, relative to the actual STREET PRICE; i.e., the price a real individual in the area would pay to own your property. How do you get it? Appraisals, talking with agents in the area, running test ads in newspapers, etc.

2)Annual Appreciation (%) ? Now the witch craft begins?.. This requires a CRYSTAL BALL to look into the future. Because of this, appreciation is an OPINION that you should form on your own?. An “Experts” OPINION is still an opinion and you should treat it as such. To make an opinion, you had to consider things like job growth, lack of similar product, future demand, etc. Bottom line is that you would like to come up with a % number and this takes a little practice but after looking at a few areas, you can pretty easily form an opinion. PLEASE NOTE: If we “project” appreciation rates in an area, we are violating securities laws so we don’t do this. We share all the information about an area and why we like it and then have to leave it up to the individual to form their own opinion. However, when we have decided to introduce a property, we have formed our own OPINION and we like what we see.

3)Annual Cashflow ? Over time, you will either be making or losing money on this investment. It may turn out that small amounts of negative cashflow make sense if the annual appreciation and purchase equity are strong. The components that you have to gather for annual cashflow are

?Gross Annual Income; ?Management Expenses; ?Taxes, Insurance, HOA; ?Interest Expenses; and ?Maintenance Estimates

Fortunately, most of the expenses can be estimated pretty closely. For gross annual income, realize that again, NOBODY can predict the future. So, you can gather market rents data that you believe are comparable, apply any safety factor that you like, and then use that for ESTIMATES.

4)Special Tax Situations ? This is typically an unusual situation for individual investors but applies in areas such as the Go Zone where bonus depreciation can be used.

How Do You Use This Information Suppose you could see EXACTLY what was going to happen into the future?.. Of course, we know this is unrealistic however it still does not hurt to try based on our assumptions.

Suppose you looked into the future and you saw that in 5 years, your net gain on a property was going to be a little over $87,000 with a $21,000 dollar total investment and a little bit of your time. If you KNEW that was GOING to happen, what would you do? Would you purchase the property? Would you pass on the property? Why?

Realize, that for a $21,000 investment, this equates to making 33.9% on your money, year after year after year. That is not too shabby. Let’s apply the “rule of 72″ here which states that you can calculate how long (approximately) it will take to double your money with a certain return %. You take 72% / 33.9% = 2.1 Years to double your money. Is this something that is good?

The answer of course depends on a few factors but let’s put it into perspective. Suppose you invested $100,000 at a steady 33.9% rate of return. In 15 years, then you have now turned that $100,000 into $7.9 Million. Got your attention yet if you KNEW this was going to happen? Of course, if we have to take on all kinds of risks to get that return, then that may, or may not be such a good idea. If, however, it is low risk, now you have the makings of a good investment.

My argument now is that IF YOU COULD SEE INTO THE FUTURE, and you saw this kind of performance, you would be excited. Right? Well, why not pretend we can look into the future and CALCULATE what the future looks like using our 4 KEY parameters above. If we like the “future” answers, and we believe our assumptions, and we believe the risk to be low, isn’t that a prudent approach?

For many non-investors, they believe that real estate investors take on tons of risk and are gun slingers?? Quite contraire, monsieur, that is exactly what we DON’T do. Good investors simply look at all the FACTS, make some estimates of key parameters, estimate future performance, and then play “what if” games to what happens if things don’t work out exactly as thought.